{
  "version": "2026-04-21T02:18:05.582109+00:00",
  "baseline_counties": 606,
  "scenarios": [
    {
      "id": "status_quo",
      "display_name": "Status Quo",
      "description": "Current extraction + crop mix continues.",
      "source": null,
      "url": "scenarios/status_quo.json",
      "headline": {
        "aquifer_lifespan_extension_years": 0.0,
        "cumulative_ag_production_delta_usd_b": 0.0,
        "rural_employment_delta_pct": 0.0,
        "embedded_co2_delta_mt": 0.0
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "ks_lema_aquifer_wide",
      "display_name": "Kansas LEMA, aquifer-wide",
      "description": "Sheridan-6 rules applied to every HPA county.",
      "source": "Basso et al. 2025",
      "url": "scenarios/ks_lema_aquifer_wide.json",
      "headline": {
        "aquifer_lifespan_extension_years": 20.13061484116731,
        "cumulative_ag_production_delta_usd_b": -0.04789280584999987,
        "rural_employment_delta_pct": -0.008500018639552605,
        "embedded_co2_delta_mt": -247254.20021683065
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "drip_transition",
      "display_name": "Drip irrigation transition",
      "description": "Center-pivot + flood \u2192 drip over 10 years.",
      "source": null,
      "url": "scenarios/drip_transition.json",
      "headline": {
        "aquifer_lifespan_extension_years": 28.310862790616525,
        "cumulative_ag_production_delta_usd_b": 0.0,
        "rural_employment_delta_pct": 0.0,
        "embedded_co2_delta_mt": -324643.47010036703
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "corn_reduction_25",
      "display_name": "25% corn reduction",
      "description": "Corn acreage drops 25%; reallocated to sorghum/wheat/dryland.",
      "source": null,
      "url": "scenarios/corn_reduction_25.json",
      "headline": {
        "aquifer_lifespan_extension_years": -1.5425781346029361,
        "cumulative_ag_production_delta_usd_b": -0.08828104026999985,
        "rural_employment_delta_pct": -0.01566812539996745,
        "embedded_co2_delta_mt": -10827.414932778554
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "no_ag_below_9m",
      "display_name": "No ag below 9m threshold",
      "description": "Counties below 9m saturated thickness stop pumping.",
      "source": null,
      "url": "scenarios/no_ag_below_9m.json",
      "headline": {
        "aquifer_lifespan_extension_years": 0.0,
        "cumulative_ag_production_delta_usd_b": -0.45082601034,
        "rural_employment_delta_pct": -0.08001263285945369,
        "embedded_co2_delta_mt": -53908.70597269572
      }
    }
  ]
}